πŸ– How do you deal with variance? - Blackjack and Card Counting Forums

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list.bonuscasinomoney.site It's possible to win at blackjack by counting cards, but most fail. The mean is positive, but the variance is mean. Cardsharps, Caravaggio c.


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Variance a term we all hear a lot but may not fully understand what it is. In a gambler's world, if they hear this they will just say β€œhey that's just a fancy word for​.


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list.bonuscasinomoney.site It's possible to win at blackjack by counting cards, but most fail. The mean is positive, but the variance is mean. Cardsharps, Caravaggio c.


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Variance a term we all hear a lot but may not fully understand what it is. In a gambler's world, if they hear this they will just say β€œhey that's just a fancy word for​.


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This post describes the software updates for computing not just the variance, but the entire probability distribution of possible outcomes of a round.


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list.bonuscasinomoney.site β€Ί algorithms β€Ί blackjack.


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This post describes the software updates for computing not just the variance, but the entire probability distribution of possible outcomes of a round.


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According to the Wizard of Odds, the variance for six decks, dealer stands on soft 17, no double after split, no re-splitting aces, and no surrender.


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Need to avoid negative hands whenever possible. Variance is part of the game, must accept that or stop playing.:joker::whip: good cards.


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you need to use a blackjack simulator, such as CVCX. also for double deck i prefer to use an ace side count with hi lo. PokerPlayingGamble is.


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But you are not the same person. Since I have also played and coached basketball, I just want to say that if the Moses basketball quote is correct, he's just flat out wrong. So there. Here is the interesting thing. And there's no guarantee you won't turn the ball over. Smart move UCFX. Thread Tools Show Printable Version. There are free throws, two-point shots, and three-point shots in basketball. The more possessions in a game between teams of unequal ability, the more likely that the superior team will win. This had never occurred in the NBA playoffs before. Every blackjack player and team using the method of card counting experiences variance, sometime pretty extreme. Let's look at some of the better known teams and some of their variance issues. You people that seem to dislike me based on all sorts of things But the math is the math. Two such events that make kewlj's story seem tame happened this week. So let's talk about blackjack variance. The math is the math. Replies: 22 Last Post: , AM.{/INSERTKEYS}{/PARAGRAPH} Variance; can it be contained? Yeah, I think there may be a reason Bob21 doesn't go into much detail regarding gambling or math. I want to say this about Moses. I'm sure Bob21 knew all of this, of course. He passed it up for a better shot at the 6 min mark and made the other team play defense longer, thus, reducing variance. No doubt. Until he started attacking me, with his complete lack of understanding about blackjack variance. Moses now has 6 out of the top 11 channels on this site. It took us three possessions, however, as it's a difficult thing to hold the ball when the other team knows you're trying to hold the ball. I am done with you now Moses and all your sock puppets, alter-egos and various multiple personalities. Specifically, counting cards in blackjack does not relate to basketball in general because "spreading" in blackjack has no real basketball equivalent. Originally Posted by redietz. Golden State blew a 31 point lead in a playoff game, a third-quarter lead no less. And this variance isn't anything that is guessed at. Maybe the real Bob21 has been kidnapped and an imposter is posting in his place. Originally Posted by Bob I don't know much about blackjack variance, but I know a little about gambling variance, and what kewlJ reported is not really outlier stuff. In other words, my results while disappointing obviously were not that unusual for my level of play. He sounds like he has no idea what he's talking about. I just never felt the need to call him out as his claim wasn't really hurting anyone. Let's go through it: 1 Blackjack is not basketball. There is no grey area or alternative math. Page 1 of 4 1 2 3 4 Last Jump to page:. A big spread equals large short-term variance. THAT is the road to reaching expectation and maximum profits. Enjoy your life and all your ahhh Moses, I just finished reading the rest of your variance post on Zenzone. You just signed on here and Moses signed on at ZZ 1 minute apart. While I am a fan of "pass the ball four times" from Hoosiers, that's a way of playing, not a guarantee that a team will be able to do it. Not freakish at all. This formula will result in a number known as standard deviation. He was just testing the rest of us. Advanced Search. T3's ridiculously mathematical impossible blackjack claims and now Moses misleading and false statements about variance, designed only to discredit me. Replies: 44 Last Post: , AM. You think the guy took the jump shot at the 7 minute make. Originally Posted by kewlJ. Anyway, should be interesting. Let's not pervert the math, because there is no such thing as alternative math. Eventually as you play enough rounds and get through the short term, the math will take over and results will come in line with expectation, but in the short term variance is a bitch. The last few posts pretty much exposed him. The odds against that are ostensibly two to the 17th, which yields roughly the same odds according to actuarial tables as "death by reptile. Both Tommy Hyland and one of his players who used to participate on various forums used to talk about their extreme variance on losing 10's, even k before things turn. The problem is that no layup is ever guaranteed to present itself, obviously, no matter how many times you pass up jumpers. Deeper penetration will result in a higher win rate higher EV rate but at the expense of higher variance. And the Tampa Bay Lightning, with the best regular season record in many years in the NHL, were swept in a first round playoff series. One of the other pretty well known teams I think the church team was at one time 60 grand in the hole, before variation turned in their favor and the caught up to EV expectation and make 6 figures and broke the bank. I've lost eight games in a row on multiple occasions. Page 1 of 4 1 2 3 4 Last Jump to page: Results 1 to 20 of Thread: Blackjack variance by the numbers. He has it backwards for a number of reasons. So I want to go back to my week last fall where I lost 29k, that one of the ex-members here, a ploppie, who has no clue, began attacking me about and Moses, who appears also to have no clue of this math or discussion despite his claims of professional blackjack play, jumped on and continued. I have known for quite a while that he could not be the professional blackjack player that he claimed. Just finished up my coffee and was reading this nutjobs latest rant over at the Cuckoos Nest I see the total meltdown post by UCFX that was made late last night after I posted Moses response word for word, was deleted. I had the good fortune to win 17 in a row once while in a public competition. Not playing a small rotation, home base of Reno and the limits they will allow, especially to a regular or frequent player. {PARAGRAPH}{INSERTKEYS}Remember Me? That last statement may seem odd but it is very true. As president of his fan club, I can only hope. Last edited by kewlJ; at PM. I played on a team pre-shot clock that held the ball 11 minutes one game because we were in foul trouble. Kewlj's variance event report is mild in comparison. Ok so back to my results for my worst week ever in week 15 years. Impossible mathematical claims should be called out Earning a million dollars over 10 years playing -EV video poker, using progressions and stop limits. Nothing in basketball enables three-point shots to increase the likelihood of being made in the manner that a blackjack count makes winning the next hand more likely. It's completely ass backwards. There is a mathematical formula, having to do with your average bet and square root of number of hands played. The whole attack on me by former member Moses and current sockpuppet member UCFX stems from the discussion involving the 29k losing week that I had last September or October. Well done! If you participate in enough events, you get to see the occasional seemingly impossible. Replies: 18 Last Post: , AM. Consider the superior team the one with the "edge. Not your unit bet, your MAX bet! I mean you are not even good at this sock puppet troll thing. It was a way to facilitate the brand names winning more games and forcing the inferior teams to play high-possession games. THAT is the point that his attacks about my variance became misleading to other players and I have a problem with that same as I did with T3 misleading other players with phony math on Norm's Site and Singer misleading video poker players with alternative or phony math on this site. So I don't know what Moses big thing with this result was about, other than clearly showing he has little or no understanding about variance as it relates to professional blackjack play. Such a sweep had never occurred before. Even before you finished it, I figured this is where you were going.